Performance Metric

Maximum Run-Up

Quick Answer

A healthy capture rate is 55–70% of Maximum Run-Up. If you consistently capture under 40%, your trailing stops are too tight relative to the instrument's ATR, costing you on every winner.

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The Formula

Capture Rate = (Realized Profit ÷ Max Run-Up) × 100

Where: - **Realized Profit** = Actual P&L at trade exit (in dollars) - **Max Run-Up** = Highest unrealized P&L at any tick during the trade (in dollars) - **Capture Rate** = Percentage of peak unrealized gain actually captured

Benchmark Ranges

Level Range What It Means
Excellent 70%–100% Exits are well-timed; trailing stops align with instrument volatility
Good 55%–70% Solid exit discipline with room for minor stop calibration
Average 40%–55% Consistent with typical retail traders; exits firing slightly early
Poor Under 40% Stops too tight or fixed targets cutting winners before momentum exhausts

How to Track

01

Record the intraday high (or low for shorts) for every trade at the time of exit or from your broker's tick data

02

Calculate MRU in dollars: (Peak Price - Entry Price) × Shares for longs

03

Divide realized P&L by MRU to get capture rate for each trade

04

Aggregate capture rate by setup type in your journal to identify systematic exit problems

How to Improve

Switch from fixed-dollar trailing stops to ATR-based stops — use 1.0–1.5× ATR to avoid being stopped out by normal price noise

Scale out 50% of the position at your initial target (1R) and trail the remainder — this locks realized gains while keeping exposure to a larger run

Segment your MRU data by setup type; apply tighter trailing stops only to mean-reversion setups where runs exhaust quickly

Review trades where capture rate exceeded 90% — identify whether those exits were planned or lucky, then replicate the planned behavior

Maximum Run-Up (MRU) measures the highest unrealized profit a trade reached at any tick before your exit — the best the trade ever looked on paper. It is a performance metric that reveals not just how much you made, but how much of the available move you captured, making it one of the most diagnostic tools for evaluating exit quality.

Formula & Calculation

Capture Rate = (Realized Profit ÷ Max Run-Up) × 100

Where:

  • Realized Profit = Actual P&L at trade exit, in dollars
  • Max Run-Up = Highest unrealized P&L at any tick during the trade, in dollars
  • Capture Rate = The percentage of peak unrealized gain you actually kept

MRU is measured in dollar P&L terms, which distinguishes it from Maximum Favorable Excursion. MFE is the raw price distance from entry to the intraday peak (e.g., a stock moved $3.00 above your entry). MRU translates that price move into dollars using position size: $3.00 × 200 shares = $600 run-up. This distinction matters — the same $3.00 move means very different things on a 50-share position versus a 500-share position. MRU captures the actual dollar opportunity; MFE does not.

The capture rate is the diagnostic number. A trader averaging 35% capture on winning trades is exiting with less than half the available gain on every winner. The cause is rarely “holding too short” — it is almost always a trailing stop set too tight relative to the instrument’s natural volatility.

Benchmarks

LevelCapture RateWhat It Means
Excellent70%–100%Exits well-timed; trailing stops match instrument volatility
Good55%–70%Solid exit discipline with minor calibration possible
Average40%–55%Consistent with typical retail traders; exits firing slightly early
PoorUnder 40%Stops too tight or fixed targets cutting winners prematurely

Context matters: mean-reversion traders may target 65–80% capture with tight exits, while trend-followers who trail wide may accept 50–60% capture in exchange for occasional outsized winners. Evaluate your capture rate against your strategy type, not a universal standard.

Practical Example

A trader buys 200 shares of NVDA at $112.00 with a stop at $109.50 — a risk of $2.50 per share, or $500 total. The stock runs to $118.80 intraday, a $6.80-per-share move. MRU = $6.80 × 200 = $1,360. The trader exits at $114.20 on a pullback, realizing $2.20 per share = $440.

Capture rate: $440 ÷ $1,360 × 100 = 32% — well into “poor” territory.

Reviewing 30 similar trades, the trader finds an average MRU of $1,100 and an average realized gain of $380, confirming a 35% average capture rate. NVDA’s average daily ATR during this period was $4.10. The $2.50 trailing stop was 0.61× ATR — too tight to survive routine intraday fluctuations on a trending stock. Switching to a 1.2× ATR trailing stop ($4.92) on a sample of subsequent trades raises the capture rate to 58%, moving from “poor” to “good” while only modestly increasing the frequency of larger giveback on reversing days.

How to Track Maximum Run-Up

  1. Record the intraday extreme at exit — For longs, note the highest price reached during the trade. For shorts, the lowest. Pull this from your broker’s trade detail or time-and-sales data.
  2. Calculate MRU in dollars — (Peak Price − Entry Price) × Shares for longs. (Entry Price − Trough Price) × Shares for shorts.
  3. Compute capture rate per trade — Divide realized P&L by MRU and multiply by 100. Log this alongside your other trade metrics.
  4. Segment by setup type — Filter your journal by entry pattern (breakout, pullback, mean-reversion) and compare average MRU and average capture rate across groups. A setup with high MRU but low capture points to a systematic exit mismatch, not a bad entry.

How to Improve Maximum Run-Up

  1. Switch to ATR-based trailing stops — Replace fixed-dollar stops with a 1.0–1.5× ATR trail. A stop tighter than 1× ATR on an intraday chart is triggered by normal price noise more than 50% of the time on trending instruments. SPY’s daily ATR runs $2–$4 in normal conditions and $5–$10 when VIX exceeds 25 — your trailing stop distance must reflect the current regime.
  2. Scale out at 1R, trail the rest — Exit 50% of your position when the trade reaches your initial 1R target. This locks in realized profit, reduces the emotional pressure to exit early, and lets the remaining position capture a larger run without the full position at risk.
  3. Apply different exit logic by setup — If breakout trades show 2× the MRU of your mean-reversion trades, they need wider trailing stops. Applying a single exit rule across all setups suppresses capture on your best-running entries.
  4. Review 100% capture trades separately — Trades where MRU equals or nearly equals realized profit were exited at the peak. Identify whether those exits were rule-based (e.g., target hit, time stop) or intuitive. Replicate the rule-based ones; treat intuitive exits as coincidental until proven repeatable.

Common Mistakes

  1. Confusing MFE with MRUMFE is a price distance; MRU is a dollar P&L figure. A trader comparing MFE on a 50-share position to MRU on a 300-share position is comparing incompatible numbers. Always convert to dollars before calculating capture rate.
  2. Measuring MRU at the close instead of the intraday tick high — Closing-price MRU significantly understates peak unrealized gains, especially on volatile days. A stock that ran $4.00 intraday and closed $1.50 above entry has an MRU of $4.00, not $1.50. Using close-based MRU inflates your apparent capture rate.
  3. Setting trailing stops to round numbers — Stops at $0.50 or $1.00 ignore the instrument’s actual ATR. On a high-ATR stock like NVDA, a $1.00 trail is noise; on a low-ATR utility stock, $1.00 may be three days of movement. Match stop distance to volatility, not to a familiar number.
  4. Optimizing capture rate without checking Maximum Adverse Excursion — Widening trailing stops to capture more run-up also increases the drawdown you absorb before the stop triggers. Always evaluate MRU improvements alongside MAE to confirm you are not accepting disproportionate downside risk.

How JournalPlus Calculates Maximum Run-Up

JournalPlus automatically calculates Maximum Run-Up for every trade using the intraday high (or low for short positions) logged at exit, then displays the capture rate alongside realized P&L in the trade detail view. The analytics dashboard aggregates capture rate by setup tag, so you can see at a glance which entry patterns consistently leave money on the table. You can filter the trade log by date range, instrument, or setup type and export a capture rate summary to a CSV for deeper analysis. For traders working to calibrate trailing stops, the performance charts overlay MRU against realized P&L across a filtered trade set, making the gap between available gains and captured gains immediately visible. This is how the trade efficiency and MFE metrics connect to MRU in a single workflow inside the app.

Common Mistakes

Confusing MFE (price distance from entry) with Run-Up (dollar P&L including position size) — a 200-share position doubles the dollar impact of the same price move

Measuring MRU at close rather than the intraday tick high — closing-price MRU understates the actual peak by significant amounts on volatile days

Setting trailing stops based on round numbers ($1.00, $0.50) rather than the instrument's ATR, which changes with market regime

Optimizing capture rate in isolation — a 90% capture rate achieved by holding through drawdowns can increase MAE and risk-of-ruin

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between Maximum Run-Up and Maximum Favorable Excursion?

MFE measures raw price distance from entry to the intraday peak (e.g., $3.00 per share). Maximum Run-Up translates that into dollar P&L by multiplying by position size (e.g., $3.00 × 200 shares = $600). MFE is price-based; MRU is P&L-based. Both originate from John Sweeney's MFE/MAE framework in 'Campaign Trading' (1996).

What is a good capture rate for Maximum Run-Up?

A capture rate of 55–70% is considered good. Most retail traders average 35–55% on winning trades. Consistently capturing above 70% indicates exits are well-calibrated to the instrument's volatility profile.

How do I use Maximum Run-Up to set better trailing stops?

Calculate your instrument's Average True Range (ATR) for the timeframe you trade. A trailing stop tighter than 1× ATR on an intraday chart fires on routine price noise more than 50% of the time on trending instruments. Start with a 1.0–1.5× ATR trailing stop and measure the effect on your capture rate over 20–30 trades.

Should I always try to maximize my capture rate?

No. Chasing high capture rates by widening stops increases the amount you give back on trades that reverse. The goal is an optimal capture rate for your strategy — typically 55–70% — not the highest possible. Always evaluate capture rate alongside Maximum Adverse Excursion to ensure you're not exposing yourself to larger drawdowns.

Can Maximum Run-Up analysis help with mean-reversion vs. trend-following strategies?

Yes. Breakout and momentum trades often have 2× the MRU of mean-reversion trades, but both may show similar capture rates. This means exits need different logic per strategy — mean-reversion exits should use fixed targets near the expected reversion point, while trend-following exits should use wider ATR-based trailing stops to stay in during extended moves.

What does a capture rate near 100% mean?

A capture rate at or near 100% means you exited at or very close to the peak — either by well-timed scaling out or by luck. Reviewing those trades helps you distinguish repeatable skill from fortunate timing. If most high-capture trades had no trailing stop logic, the exits were likely coincidental.

How many trades do I need to draw conclusions from MRU data?

At minimum 20–30 trades of the same setup type before drawing conclusions. A small sample of 5–10 trades can show wide variance in capture rates that reflects randomness rather than systematic exit problems. Segment by setup, timeframe, and instrument for the most actionable insights.

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